Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 3.893459 4.168157 4.461319 4.798957 5.178970 5.595682 6.090275
2025-07-20 3.505513 3.896272 4.339652 4.886107 5.550261 6.343296 7.381013
2025-07-27 3.280638 3.740923 4.285979 4.991656 5.900996 7.063644 8.717539
2025-08-03 3.075246 3.572854 4.181034 4.998609 6.102050 7.594819 9.878681
2025-08-10 2.876482 3.388950 4.030449 4.918284 6.161531 7.923561 10.794290
2025-08-17 2.692232 3.206288 3.861873 4.790402 6.130088 8.104027 11.500535
2025-08-24 2.556311 3.074874 3.747757 4.721788 6.168157 8.382661 12.412561
2025-08-31 2.478776 3.013557 3.720563 4.768726 6.376070 8.947987 13.952860
2025-09-07 2.397512 2.941268 3.671716 4.777343 6.521862 9.427756 15.455323
2025-09-14 2.272785 2.803057 3.522116 4.624020 6.392870 9.413261 15.939080
2025-09-21 2.177189 2.700182 3.416455 4.528646 6.347529 9.539108 16.760168
2025-09-28 2.096311 2.613844 3.329466 4.454978 6.329674 9.710243 17.732389
2025-10-05 2.031720 2.549916 3.274917 4.433407 6.407865 10.094944 19.416100
2025-10-12 1.998166 2.528509 3.281612 4.509699 6.666389 10.886613 22.549592
2025-10-19 1.971299 2.514920 3.298402 4.602544 6.964631 11.822724 26.674499
2025-10-26 1.924511 2.470029 3.264934 4.608654 7.100555 12.430341 30.159197
2025-11-02 1.862436 2.400109 3.189462 4.537991 7.080182 12.670935 32.476174
2025-11-09 1.794401 2.318955 3.093051 4.425316 6.966038 12.665869 33.822442
2025-11-16 1.742551 2.260079 3.028905 4.364774 6.950979 12.907434 36.477139
2025-11-23 1.716817 2.239182 3.023275 4.406197 7.148277 13.739479 42.856176
2025-11-30 1.685139 2.208062 2.999783 4.413798 7.275191 14.414895 49.383905
2025-12-07 1.624727 2.131482 2.900456 4.278396 7.081909 14.148024 49.778305
2025-12-14 1.577894 2.074399 2.830784 4.194011 6.994020 14.178249 52.371828